{"id":542588,"date":"2018-11-02T05:52:14","date_gmt":"2018-11-02T09:52:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ntrs.nasa.gov\/search.jsp?R=20180006828"},"modified":"2018-11-02T05:52:14","modified_gmt":"2018-11-02T09:52:14","slug":"synthesizing-a-new-launch-vehicle-failure-probability-based-on-historical-flight-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=542588","title":{"rendered":"Synthesizing a New Launch Vehicle Failure Probability Based on Historical Flight Data"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Abstract: New launch vehicles have historically had significantly higher failure rates in early flights than what has been predicted using Probabilistic Risk Assessment &#8211; PRA. This is because PRAs typically model a mature vehicle where a significant portion of the early failure probability contributors have been eliminated due to testing and improvements after actual field operation. To capture a more accurate early flight failure probability estimate, this paper develops a method that estimates ascent&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Abstract: New launch vehicles have historically had significantly higher failure rates in early flights than what has been predicted using Probabilistic Risk Assessment &#8211; PRA. This is because PRAs typically model a mature vehicle where a significant po&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":615444,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-542588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/542588","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/60"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=542588"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/542588\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":542589,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/542588\/revisions\/542589"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/615444"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=542588"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=542588"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=542588"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}