{"id":771737,"date":"2023-11-10T07:11:18","date_gmt":"2023-11-10T11:11:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=771737"},"modified":"2023-11-10T07:11:18","modified_gmt":"2023-11-10T11:11:18","slug":"the-k7ra-solar-update-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=771737","title":{"rendered":"The K7RA Solar Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"date\">11\/03\/2023<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE WARNING ISSUED AT 2333 UTC on 02 NOVEMBER 2023 BY THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;A possible glancing impact from a CME first observed on 31-Oct<br \/>combined with a glancing impact from a CME first observed on 2-Nov<br \/>is expected to produce a chance of G1 geomagnetic activity on 4-Nov<br \/>and G0-G1 activity on 5-Nov.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Seven new sunspot groups emerged in this reporting week, October 26<br \/>through November 1. Two on October 26, one on October 27, another on<br \/>October 28, two more on October 31 and another on November 1. One<br \/>more appeared on November 2.<\/p>\n<p>Average daily sunspot numbers rose from 41.9 to 76.7, while average<br \/>daily solar flux increased from 123.5 to 137.5.<\/p>\n<p>Predicted solar flux is 158, 160, 162, 158 and 155 on November 3-7,<br \/>150 on November 8-9, 148, 136, and 134 on November 10-12, 130 on<br \/>November 13-15, then 125, 123, and 120 on November 16-18, then 125<br \/>on November 19-22, and 130 on November 23-26, then 132 on November<br \/>27, 134 on November 28-29, 136 on November 30 through December 2,<br \/>140 and 138 on December 3-4, 136 on December 5-6, then 138. 136 and<br \/>134 on December 7-9 and 130 on December 10-12.<\/p>\n<p>Predicted planetary A index is 5, 8, 12, 8 and 5 on November 3-7, 12<br \/>on November 8-9, 8 on November 10, 5 on November 11-13, then 8 and<br \/>10 on November 14-15, 5 on November 16-21, then 15, 10, 15, 15, 20,<br \/>15 and 8 on November 22-28, 5 on November 29 through December 5,<br \/>then 12 and 8 on December 6-7 and 5 on December 8-10.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Weekly Commentary on the Sun, the Magnetosphere, and the Earth&#8217;s<br \/>Ionosphere &#8211; November 03, 2023 from F.K. Janda, OK1HH.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The coronal hole we saw in the northwest of the solar disk has<br \/>already fallen beyond its limb. Now we&#8217;re looking at another fairly<br \/>large coronal hole in the southeast. At the same time, both sunspot<br \/>and flare activity decreased in the west and increased in the east.<br \/>Fortunately, the solar wind from the eastern half of the disk rarely<br \/>reaches the Earth&#8217;s neighborhood. Therefore, the frequency of<br \/>geomagnetic disturbances is lower.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is valid for most days in the first half of November. As the<br \/>solar activity could also increase, we can expect more stable and<br \/>overall, slightly better shortwave propagation. After that, however,<br \/>the solar flux will gradually return from 160 perhaps to somewhere<br \/>near 120. Therefore, MUF values will begin to slowly decline.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;As long as the coronal hole remains stable and persists in the<br \/>solar disk after passing through the central meridian, disturbances<br \/>will become more frequent. Therefore, shortwave propagation will<br \/>gradually deteriorate, but no reliable forecast can be made very far<br \/>ahead.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>From Dave, N4KZ in Frankfort, Kentucky, EM78:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;At 1545 UTC on October 7, I experienced the thrill of a lifetime<br \/>when 3B9FR, Robert on Rodrigues Island in the Indian Ocean, answered<br \/>my CQ on 6-meter FT8. I had already worked 3B9FR 10 times over the<br \/>last 20 years on CW, SSB and FT8 on various HF bands but I never<br \/>anticipated working him on 6 meters.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The morning began when I worked HC5VF at 1534 UTC with a very<br \/>strong signal. Hearing nothing else from the south, I turned my Yagi<br \/>toward Europe hoping perhaps someone there would decode my CQ. After<br \/>six unsuccessful CQs, Robert called me. I took a screenshot of our<br \/>QSO. I plan to have it framed for the shack wall. According to his<br \/>QRZ.com page, Robert runs 75 watts to a new 6-element quad on 6<br \/>meters. I was running 250 watts to a 3-element Yagi at 60 feet.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;On October 23, from 2059 to 2359 UTC, I worked 18 South Americans<br \/>on 6-meter FT8. Stations worked were in Argentina, Uruguay and<br \/>Brazil. Then the band changed around to the Pacific and for the<br \/>first time in some 30 years on 6 meters, I copied stations in<br \/>Australia. I decoded five stations in VK4, two in New Caledonia and<br \/>3D2AG in Fiji. Sadly, despite numerous calls, I did not work anyone<br \/>in the Pacific that day. But it was still a thrill to hear those<br \/>entities for the first time on 6 meters. And of course, the QSO into<br \/>the Indian Ocean, at a distance greater than 10,000 miles, made up<br \/>for it.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I was very active on 2-meter SSB and CW from the mid-1970s until<br \/>about 2010 when I grew bored and took down my 2-meter Yagi. Earlier<br \/>this year, I felt the urge to return to the low end of 2 meters.<br \/>This time, FT8 seems to mostly have replaced SSB and CW for<br \/>weak-signal work. Since June 28, I have worked 30 states and 102<br \/>grid squares with my new 13-element Yagi.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The big five-day tropo opening in August produced more than 160<br \/>QSOs from Colorado to Connecticut. In the middle of the afternoon<br \/>toward the end of that August opening, I decoded both ends of a QSO<br \/>between WQ0P in KS and W1VD in CT, I had worked both of them<br \/>earlier, but it was really something to watch them working over<br \/>about a 1,500 mile path.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>From Bob, KB1DK:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Conditions on 10 meters were fair for the CQWW SSB contest this<br \/>past weekend. While propagation was good from Connecticut to the<br \/>Middle East, south and central Europe, signals from Scandinavia, and<br \/>north\/central Russia were barely readable. This was in sharp<br \/>contrast to the conditions on the weekend of October 14th when I<br \/>worked 45 stations with strong signals in the Scandinavia Contest on<br \/>Saturday morning.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;On October 15th, I operated mobile for the first time. Using an old<br \/>Kenwood TS-570 and a quarter wave vertical magnetically mounted on<br \/>the roof, I logged 28 QSOs in 2 hours including South Africa,<br \/>Greece, South Russia and Scandinavia with respectable reports from a<br \/>fixed hilltop location. It was well worth the effort to wire up the<br \/>car. I did not want to miss out on the great propagation on 10<br \/>meters, especially after the conditions this past spring and last<br \/>fall.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If you have an old rig, consider investing for a magnetic mount and<br \/>a 10 meter whip. You won&#8217;t be disappointed. My next operating<br \/>location will be from the beach on Long Island Sound.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;All the best from the east coast.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>K7SS reported to the Western Washington DX Club that he worked 10<br \/>meters only in the CQ World Wide SSB DX Contest, with 643 QSOs in 28<br \/>zones and 75 countries for a claimed score of 177,984 points.<\/p>\n<p>Articles about an early peak of Solar Cycle 25:<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/bit.ly\/3FF26jh<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/bit.ly\/40ndQQN<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/bit.ly\/45REtys<\/p>\n<p>Trailblazing female astronomers, one is Mrs. Annie Maunder:<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/bit.ly\/478EfEo<\/p>\n<p>New video from Dr. Tamitha Skov, WX6SWW:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"A Dark Hole &amp; Bright Regions for Halloween | Space Weather News 31 October 2023\" width=\"1110\" height=\"624\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/M4VBAuSpVZc?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Send your tips, reports, observations, questions and comments to<br \/>k7ra@arrl.net. When reporting observations, don&#8217;t forget to tell us<br \/>which mode you were operating.<\/p>\n<p>An archive of past propagation bulletins is at<br \/> . More good<br \/>information and tutorials on propagation are at  .<\/p>\n<p>Also, check this article from September, 2002 QST:<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/bit.ly\/3Rc8Njt<\/p>\n<p>Instructions for starting or ending email distribution of ARRL<br \/>bulletins are at  .<\/p>\n<p>Sunspot numbers for October 26 through November 1, 2023 were 57, 66,<br \/>70, 61, 62, 116, and 105, with a mean of 76.7. 10.7 cm flux was<br \/>126.4, 127.5, 128, 135.2, 139.7, 147.3, and 158.6, with a mean of<br \/>137.5. Estimated planetary A indices were 23, 11, 19, 28, 12, 9, and<br \/>9, with a mean of 15.9. Middle latitude A index was 18, 9, 13, 21,<br \/>10, 6, and 6, with a mean of 11.9.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/www.arrl.org\/news\/view\/the-k7ra-solar-update-802?rand=771671\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>11\/03\/2023 &#8220;GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE WARNING ISSUED AT 2333 UTC on 02 NOVEMBER 2023 BY THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE. &#8220;A possible glancing impact from a CME first observed on 31-Octcombined&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":771673,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-771737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ARRL"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/771737","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=771737"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/771737\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/771673"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=771737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=771737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=771737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}