{"id":776910,"date":"2024-02-12T03:35:58","date_gmt":"2024-02-12T08:35:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=776910"},"modified":"2024-02-12T03:35:58","modified_gmt":"2024-02-12T08:35:58","slug":"m6-5-solar-flare-erupts-from-ar-3576-g2-moderate-geomagnetic-storm-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=776910","title":{"rendered":"M6.5 solar flare erupts from AR 3576, G2 &#8211; Moderate geomagnetic storm watch"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>A moderately strong M6.5 solar flare erupted from Active Region 3576 at 03:48 UTC on February 12, 2024. The event started at 03:23 and ended at 03:53 UTC.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>There were no radio signatures detected that would suggest a coronal mass ejection (CME) was produced.<\/p>\n<p>Radio frequencies were forecast to be most degraded over SE Asia and Australia at the time of the flare.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" data-perfmatters-preload=\"\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"817\" height=\"794\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/sunspots-on-february-12-2024.webp\" alt=\"sunspots on february 12 2024\" class=\"wp-image-180545\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/sunspots-on-february-12-2024.webp 817w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/sunspots-on-february-12-2024-300x292.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/sunspots-on-february-12-2024-768x746.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 817px) 100vw, 817px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Sunspots on February 12, 2024. Credit: NASA SDO\/HMI<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"824\" height=\"799\" alt=\"sunspots on february 12 2024 HMI CM\" class=\"wp-image-180550 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/sunspots-on-february-12-2024-HMI-CM.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/sunspots-on-february-12-2024-HMI-CM.webp 824w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/sunspots-on-february-12-2024-HMI-CM-300x291.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/sunspots-on-february-12-2024-HMI-CM-768x745.webp 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 824px) 100vw, 824px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"824\" height=\"799\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/sunspots-on-february-12-2024-HMI-CM.webp\" alt=\"sunspots on february 12 2024 HMI CM\" class=\"wp-image-180550\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/sunspots-on-february-12-2024-HMI-CM.webp 824w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/sunspots-on-february-12-2024-HMI-CM-300x291.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/sunspots-on-february-12-2024-HMI-CM-768x745.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 824px) 100vw, 824px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Sunspots on February 12, 2024. Credit: NASA SDO\/HMI<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"475\" alt=\"drap m6.5 solar flare february 12 2024\" class=\"wp-image-180544 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/drap-m6.5-solar-flare-february-12-2024.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/drap-m6.5-solar-flare-february-12-2024.webp 850w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/drap-m6.5-solar-flare-february-12-2024-300x168.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/drap-m6.5-solar-flare-february-12-2024-768x429.webp 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"475\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/drap-m6.5-solar-flare-february-12-2024.webp\" alt=\"drap m6.5 solar flare february 12 2024\" class=\"wp-image-180544\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/drap-m6.5-solar-flare-february-12-2024.webp 850w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/drap-m6.5-solar-flare-february-12-2024-300x168.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/drap-m6.5-solar-flare-february-12-2024-768x429.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\"\/><\/figure>\n<p>The event follows M9.0 at 23:07 UTC on February 10, also from AR 3576. While today\u2019s flare might not have produced CME, the February 10<sup>th<\/sup> M9.0 appeared to produce two of them.<\/p>\n<p>The first was a full halo that could be fully seen at 00:00 UTC on February 11. A slower, narrow CME appeared at the same time with the bulk of the ejecta off the NNE limb. GOES SUVI 304 imagery appears to show the presence of the two CMEs and modeling indicated a likely arrival early on February 13.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"perfmatters-lazy-youtube\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/QgrxHrzG7-Q\" data-id=\"QgrxHrzG7-Q\" data-query=\"feature=oembed\" onclick=\"perfmattersLazyLoadYouTube(this);\">\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"YouTube video\" width=\"480\" height=\"360\" data-pin-nopin=\"true\" nopin=\"nopin\" class=\"perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/QgrxHrzG7-Q\/hqdefault.jpg\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/QgrxHrzG7-Q\/hqdefault.jpg\" alt=\"YouTube video\" width=\"480\" height=\"360\" data-pin-nopin=\"true\" nopin=\"nopin\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><noscript><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Strong M9.0 solar flare erupts from geoeffective Region 3576 - February 10, 2024\" width=\"1110\" height=\"624\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/QgrxHrzG7-Q?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><noscript><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Strong M9.0 solar flare erupts from geoeffective Region 3576 - February 10, 2024\" width=\"1110\" height=\"624\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/QgrxHrzG7-Q?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/noscript><\/noscript>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Solar activity reached moderate levels in 24 hours to 00:30 UTC today due to an M1 flare at 22:45 UTC on February 11 from a region just beyond the NE limb. Regions 3576 (S16W23, Fkc\/beta-gamma-delta), 3582 (N06E01, Cao\/beta), and 3583 (N09E29, Dso\/beta) were responsible only for C-class flaring. <\/p>\n<p>Slight decay occurred in the trailing spots of Region 3576 whereas Regions 3582 and 3583 showed growth and development. Other activity included an approximate 15-degree filament eruption centered near N28E19 that began at 06:40 UTC on February 11. A possible associated CME was observed off the NE limb at 18:12 UTC on February 11. Further analysis will be conducted as imagery becomes available, SWPC forecasters said.<\/p>\n<p>Solar activity is likely to reach moderate levels with a slight chance for X-class flares on February 12 to 14.<\/p>\n<p>The S2 \u2013 Moderate solar radiation storm that began at 18:15 UTC following the X3.3 flare on February 9, reached a peak flux of 187 pfu at 23:55 UTC on February 09, and ended at 03:55 UTC on February 11. Below S1 levels were observed since around 18:00 UTC yesterday. <\/p>\n<p>There is a chance for further S1 \u2013 Minor solar radiation storm enhancements due to the flare potential of Region 3576 as well as possible shock enhancements from multiple inbound CMEs. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal moderate levels through February 14.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"514\" alt=\"proton flux 3 days february 12 2024\" class=\"wp-image-180543 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/proton-flux-3-days-february-12-2024-1024x514.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/proton-flux-3-days-february-12-2024-1024x514.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/proton-flux-3-days-february-12-2024-300x151.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/proton-flux-3-days-february-12-2024-768x385.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/proton-flux-3-days-february-12-2024.webp 1166w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"514\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/proton-flux-3-days-february-12-2024-1024x514.webp\" alt=\"proton flux 3 days february 12 2024\" class=\"wp-image-180543\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/proton-flux-3-days-february-12-2024-1024x514.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/proton-flux-3-days-february-12-2024-300x151.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/proton-flux-3-days-february-12-2024-768x385.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/proton-flux-3-days-february-12-2024.webp 1166w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><\/figure>\n<p>Solar wind parameters indicated the arrival of a CME, possibly a glancing blow related to the X3.3 flare on February 9. At 01:21 UTC on February 11, an interplanetary shock was observed in solar wind data. Wind speeds increased from approximately 350 km\/s to 439 km\/s, eventually reaching 634 km\/s by 14:10 UTC. Total field increased from 4 nT to 19 nT initially, while the Bz component indicated a mostly negative trend to a low of -15 nT. <\/p>\n<p>A geomagnetic sudden impulse was observed at Earth with a 40 nT deviation (Boulder Magnetometer) at 02:11 UTC yesterday. The total field decreased to under 10 nT by 05:34 UTC and remained in the 6-8 nT range through 00:30 UTC today. <\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"773\" alt=\"solar wind 3 days february 12 2024\" class=\"wp-image-180542 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/solar-wind-3-days-february-12-2024-1024x773.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/solar-wind-3-days-february-12-2024-1024x773.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/solar-wind-3-days-february-12-2024-300x226.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/solar-wind-3-days-february-12-2024-768x580.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/solar-wind-3-days-february-12-2024.webp 1166w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"773\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/solar-wind-3-days-february-12-2024-1024x773.webp\" alt=\"solar wind 3 days february 12 2024\" class=\"wp-image-180542\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/solar-wind-3-days-february-12-2024-1024x773.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/solar-wind-3-days-february-12-2024-300x226.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/solar-wind-3-days-february-12-2024-768x580.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/solar-wind-3-days-february-12-2024.webp 1166w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Looking ahead, a combination of the February 8 and 10 CMEs is expected to cause further enhancements in the solar wind beginning mid to late on February 12 and continuing through February 14.<\/p>\n<p>The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels over the past 24 hours. Enhancements from the  February 8 and 10 CMEs are expected to begin mid to late on February 12 through early on February 13. Unsettled to G1 \u2013 Minor storming is likely on February 12, increasing to active to G2 \u2013 Moderate storming on February 13. Unsettled to G1 \u2013 Minor conditions are expected on February 14 as CME activity persists.<\/p>\n<p>References:<\/p>\n<p><sup>1<\/sup> Forecast Discussion \u2013 Issued: 2024 Feb 12 0030 UTC \u2013 Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-theme-palette-6-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-e12db6480ac1ba083e8fcac0c301fc21\"><em>Featured image credit: NASA\/SDO AIA\/304. Acquired at 03:47 UTC on February 12, 2024<\/em><\/p>\n<p><center><\/p>\n<p>If you value what we do here, create your ad-free account and support our journalism.<\/p>\n<p><\/center>\n<link rel=\"stylesheet\" id=\"kadence-blocks-tabs-css\" data-pmdelayedstyle=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/plugins\/kadence-blocks\/dist\/style-blocks-tabs.css?ver=3.2.19\" media=\"all\"\/>\n<!-- [element-170997] --><\/p>\n<div class=\"ultp-shortcode\" data-postid=\"170999\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-kadence-tabs alignnone\">\n<div class=\"kt-tabs-wrap kt-tabs-id170999_5cb0a9-ac kt-tabs-has-3-tabs kt-active-tab-1 kt-tabs-layout-tabs kt-tabs-tablet-layout-accordion kt-tabs-mobile-layout-accordion kt-tab-alignment-center kt-create-accordion\">\n<div class=\"kt-tabs-content-wrap\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-kadence-tab kt-tab-inner-content kt-inner-tab-1 kt-inner-tab_bb21d2-0d\">\n<div class=\"kt-tab-inner-content-inner\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-ultimate-post-post-list-3 ultp-block-924ff4\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-items-wrap ultp-block-row ultp-block-column-1 ultp-block-content-middle ultp-layout1\">\n<section class=\"ultp-block-item ultp-block-media post-id-180511\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content-wrap\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content\">\n<h3 class=\"ultp-block-title \">Strong M9.0 solar flare erupts from geoeffective Region 3576<\/h3>\n<p><span class=\"ultp-block-date\">Saturday, February 10, 2024<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"ultp-block-item ultp-block-media post-id-180470\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content-wrap\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content\">\n<h3 class=\"ultp-block-title \">Major X3.3 solar flare erupts behind the SW limb, S2 \u2013 Moderate solar radiation storm<\/h3>\n<p><span class=\"ultp-block-date\">Friday, February 9, 2024<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"ultp-block-item ultp-block-media post-id-180369\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content-wrap\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content\">\n<h3 class=\"ultp-block-title \">Long-duration M5.1 solar flare erupts from Region 3575<\/h3>\n<p><span class=\"ultp-block-date\">Wednesday, February 7, 2024<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"ultp-block-item ultp-block-media post-id-180341\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content-wrap\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content\">\n<h3 class=\"ultp-block-title \">Long-duration M4.2 solar flare erupts from Region 3575<\/h3>\n<p><span class=\"ultp-block-date\">Tuesday, February 6, 2024<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"ultp-block-item ultp-block-media post-id-180146\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content-wrap\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content\">\n<h3 class=\"ultp-block-title \">M6.7 solar flare erupts from Region 3559, producing S2 \u2013 Moderate solar radiation storm<\/h3>\n<p><span class=\"ultp-block-date\">Monday, January 29, 2024<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"ultp-block-item ultp-block-media post-id-180039\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content-wrap\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content\">\n<h3 class=\"ultp-block-title \">Solar filament eruption produces Earth-directed CME<\/h3>\n<p><span class=\"ultp-block-date\">Tuesday, January 23, 2024<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"ultp-block-item ultp-block-media post-id-179994\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content-wrap\">\n<div class=\"ultp-block-content\">\n<h3 class=\"ultp-block-title \">Complex filament eruption produced Earth-directed CME, impact expected late January 22<\/h3>\n<p><span class=\"ultp-block-date\">Sunday, January 21, 2024<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- [\/element-170997] --><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/2024\/02\/12\/m6-5-solar-flare-erupts-from-ar-3576-g2-moderate-geomagnetic-storm-watch\/?rand=772108\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A moderately strong M6.5 solar flare erupted from Active Region 3576 at 03:48 UTC on February 12, 2024. The event started at 03:23 and ended at 03:53 UTC. There were&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":776911,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-776910","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-space-weather-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/776910","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=776910"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/776910\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/776911"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=776910"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=776910"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=776910"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}