{"id":780104,"date":"2024-04-03T11:14:51","date_gmt":"2024-04-03T16:14:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=780104"},"modified":"2024-04-03T11:14:51","modified_gmt":"2024-04-03T16:14:51","slug":"inside-a-week-to-totality-weather-prospects-solar-activity-and-more","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=780104","title":{"rendered":"Inside a Week to Totality: Weather Prospects, Solar Activity and More"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><em>Looking at prospects for eclipse day and totality.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Have you picked out your site to observe the eclipse on April 8<sup>th<\/sup>? Next Monday, the shadow of the Moon crosses Mexico, the contiguous United States from Texas to Maine, and the Canadian Maritimes for the last time for this generation. And while over 30 million people live in the path of totality, millions more live within an easy day drive of the path. I\u2019m expecting that many folks will decide to make a three-day weekend of it, and eclipse travel traffic will really pick up this coming Saturday, April 6<sup>th<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"more-166302\"\/><\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve written previously on observing and safety in our big guide to the April 8<sup>th<\/sup> total solar eclipse, and the science campaigns underway to meet the eclipse. <\/p>\n<p>So, what can we expect on the big day? While eclipses and celestial mechanics are a definite, not all eclipses are the same, as key variables both cosmic and terrestrial play a role in the experience.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-watching-the-weather\">Watching the Weather<\/h2>\n<p>Of course, the major question mark that everyone is watching is weather and cloud cover. As the day nears, weather models begin to merge and agree. While climate models typically favor clear skies in early April for the southwest portion of the track and clouds to the northeast, predictions now actually show a <em>reverse<\/em> trend for the afternoon of the 8<sup>th<\/sup>. This means clear skies for New England, and clouds (and perhaps, even afternoon storm and tornado warnings) to the south towards Texas. Keep in mind, a Nor\u2019easter is also inbound for New England late this week\u2026 we actually opted to head to northern Maine early for this very reason. Good sites to check include Pivotal Weather, and NOAA\u2019s cloud cover forecast. On eclipse day, we\u2019re watching the GOES-East live view page on North America to see what\u2019s actually occurring. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Cloud cover prospects of April 8th, versus the eclipse path. Credit: Pivotal Weather. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>It\u2019s always tough to know if the Sun will be obscured by a cloud for the scant few minutes of totality days prior. Remember: you don\u2019t need a pristine clear sky for a solar eclipse\u2026 just a good view of the Sun and Moon. April over North America can be a fickle month.<\/p>\n<p>Sometimes, seeing the eclipsed Sun through thick fast-moving clouds can provide a memorable view. This was the case for us in 2017 when we caught the eclipse from PARI, North Carolina in the Smoky Mountains. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-solar-activity\">Solar Activity<\/h2>\n<p>We\u2019re now headed towards the peak of Solar Cycle No. 25, so expect the Sun to be active, come eclipse day. Sunspots rotating into view now will also be visible during the partial phases of the eclipse leading up to totality. The Sun is uncharacteristically quiet this week, but we do have a few sunspots rotating into view to add a photogenic look to the Sun.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/hmi1898-1024x1024.png\" alt=\"Sunspot\" class=\"wp-image-166469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/hmi1898-1024x1024.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/hmi1898-580x580.png 580w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/hmi1898-250x250.png 250w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/hmi1898-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/hmi1898-1536x1536.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/hmi1898-100x100.png 100w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/hmi1898.png 1898w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Sunspot activity rotating into view as of April 3rd. NASA\/ESA\/SOHO<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-corona-s-appearance\">The Corona\u2019s Appearance<\/h2>\n<p>Did you know: long-time eclipse chasers can actually identify which eclipse a given photo is from\u2026 just from the appearance of the corona. Predictive Science Incorporated actually runs a forecast for the appearance of the corona come eclipse day, and it looks like we\u2019re in for a memorable one:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eye_brightness_eclipse_2024_master1_earth_apr8_6rs_mhdpowm1p5_standard_annotated_002214-1024x1024.jpg\" alt=\"Corona\" class=\"wp-image-166470\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eye_brightness_eclipse_2024_master1_earth_apr8_6rs_mhdpowm1p5_standard_annotated_002214-1024x1024.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eye_brightness_eclipse_2024_master1_earth_apr8_6rs_mhdpowm1p5_standard_annotated_002214-580x580.jpg 580w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eye_brightness_eclipse_2024_master1_earth_apr8_6rs_mhdpowm1p5_standard_annotated_002214-250x250.jpg 250w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eye_brightness_eclipse_2024_master1_earth_apr8_6rs_mhdpowm1p5_standard_annotated_002214-768x768.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eye_brightness_eclipse_2024_master1_earth_apr8_6rs_mhdpowm1p5_standard_annotated_002214-1536x1536.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eye_brightness_eclipse_2024_master1_earth_apr8_6rs_mhdpowm1p5_standard_annotated_002214-2048x2048.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eye_brightness_eclipse_2024_master1_earth_apr8_6rs_mhdpowm1p5_standard_annotated_002214-100x100.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">The latest prediction for the appearance of the solar corona on eclipse day. Credit: Predictive Science Inc. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Catching the International Space Station transiting the partially eclipsed Sun can be a memorable observation. ISS Transit Finder is a good site to predict transits of the station for a given location.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"920\" src=\"https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eclipse-iss-20150320.jpg\" alt=\"Transit\" class=\"wp-image-166472\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eclipse-iss-20150320.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eclipse-iss-20150320-580x521.jpg 580w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eclipse-iss-20150320-250x225.jpg 250w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/eclipse-iss-20150320-768x690.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A transit of the ISS captured during the 2015 partial solar eclipse. Credit: Thierry Legault. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-last-minute-plans\">Last Minute Plans<\/h2>\n<p>Mobility is key, come eclipse day. Plan your eclipse expedition like a heist, complete with a plan to go mobile and an escape route. Tales of totality are replete with stories of eclipse chasers driving down back roads and even taking off running on foot to stay ahead of incoming clouds.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-skywatching-during-totality\">Skywatching During Totality<\/h2>\n<p>Though totality is fleeting, do take about half a minute to stargaze. Jupiter and Venus will be visible, along with several +1<sup>st<\/sup> magnitude stars. Comet 12P Pons-Brooks is also at +4.5 magnitude in the constellation Aries, 25 degrees from the Sun. A well-placed outburst from this tempestuous comet could always vault it into binocular or even naked eye visibility.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"716\" src=\"https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Comet-1024x716.jpg\" alt=\"Skywatching\" class=\"wp-image-166471\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Comet-1024x716.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Comet-580x406.jpg 580w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Comet-250x175.jpg 250w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Comet-768x537.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Comet.jpg 1297w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Skywatching during totality. Credit: Stellarium. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-animal-activity-during-totality\">Animal Activity During Totality<\/h2>\n<p>Finally, keep an eye (and ear) out for any anomalous phenomena during totality. Temperatures may drop, roosters may crow, and nocturnal creatures may briefly emerge, fooled by the false twilight. In 2017, we faced a sudden onslaught of mosquitoes as midday darkness descended.<\/p>\n<p>If you have the means, do make sure you\u2019re in the path of totality come eclipse day. This one has a special significance for us, as it\u2019s the only total solar eclipse that passes over our hometown of Mapleton, Maine in our lifetimes.<\/p>\n<p>Good luck, safe travels to totality, and clear skies!<\/p>\n<div class=\"sharedaddy sd-block sd-like jetpack-likes-widget-wrapper jetpack-likes-widget-unloaded\" id=\"like-post-wrapper-24000880-166302-660d7fb47ef95\" data-src=\"https:\/\/widgets.wp.com\/likes\/?ver=13.2#blog_id=24000880&amp;post_id=166302&amp;origin=www.universetoday.com&amp;obj_id=24000880-166302-660d7fb47ef95&amp;n=1\" data-name=\"like-post-frame-24000880-166302-660d7fb47ef95\" data-title=\"Like or Reblog\">\n<h3 class=\"sd-title\">Like this:<\/h3>\n<p><span class=\"button\"><span>Like<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"loading\">Loading&#8230;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"sd-text-color\"\/><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.universetoday.com\/166302\/inside-a-week-to-totality-weather-prospects-solar-activity-and-more\/?rand=772204\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Looking at prospects for eclipse day and totality. Have you picked out your site to observe the eclipse on April 8th? Next Monday, the shadow of the Moon crosses Mexico,&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":780105,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-780104","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genaero"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/780104","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=780104"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/780104\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/780105"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=780104"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=780104"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=780104"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}