{"id":792416,"date":"2025-01-04T09:18:08","date_gmt":"2025-01-04T14:18:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=792416"},"modified":"2025-01-04T09:18:08","modified_gmt":"2025-01-04T14:18:08","slug":"major-x1-8-solar-flare-erupts-from-ar-3947-third-x-class-in-a-day","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=792416","title":{"rendered":"Major X1.8 solar flare erupts from AR 3947 &#8211; third X-class in a day"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>A large coronal mass ejection (CME), with an estimated velocity of 314 km\/s, was produced during the event, but the location of this region still doesn\u2019t favor Earth-directed CMEs.<\/p>\n<p>Radio frequencies were forecast to be most degraded over parts of South America, South Atlantic Ocean, and Africa.<\/p>\n<p>This is the third, and strongest, X-class solar flare in just over 24 hours \u2014 all of them from AR 3947. <\/p>\n<p>It follows X1.2 at 11:39 UTC on January 3, which resulted in an easterly CME determined to be well off the Sun-Earth line, and X1.1 at 22:41 UTC \u2014 also associated with a non-Earth-directed CME.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past 24 hours, AR 3947 evolved further, gained additional intermediate spots, and grew in overall areal coverage, suggesting it will continue producing powerful flares and signaling possible Earth-directed CMEs in the days ahead as it rotates into a geoeffective position.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">X1.8 solar flare on January 4, 2025. Credit: NOAA\/GOES-16 SUVI, The Watchers<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls=\"\" loop=\"\" playsinline=\"\" class=\"perfmatters-lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-aia131.webm\"\/><noscript><video controls=\"\" loop=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-aia131.webm\" playsinline=\"\"\/><\/noscript><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">X1.8 solar flare on January 4, 2025. Credit: NOAA\/GOES-16 SUVI, The Watchers<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" alt=\"goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute january 4 2025 b\" class=\"wp-image-213358 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-january-4-2025-b-1024x576.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-january-4-2025-b-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-january-4-2025-b-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-january-4-2025-b-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-january-4-2025-b-180x100.webp 180w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-january-4-2025-b.webp 1200w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-january-4-2025-b-1024x576.webp\" alt=\"goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute january 4 2025 b\" class=\"wp-image-213358\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-january-4-2025-b-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-january-4-2025-b-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-january-4-2025-b-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-january-4-2025-b-180x100.webp 180w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-january-4-2025-b.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: SWPC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"852\" height=\"834\" alt=\"X1.8 solar flare january 4 2025 aia 304 suvi bg\" class=\"wp-image-213357 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/X1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-aia-304-suvi-bg.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/X1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-aia-304-suvi-bg.webp 852w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/X1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-aia-304-suvi-bg-300x294.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/X1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-aia-304-suvi-bg-768x752.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/X1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-aia-304-suvi-bg-70x70.webp 70w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 852px) 100vw, 852px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"852\" height=\"834\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/X1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-aia-304-suvi-bg.webp\" alt=\"X1.8 solar flare january 4 2025 aia 304 suvi bg\" class=\"wp-image-213357\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/X1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-aia-304-suvi-bg.webp 852w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/X1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-aia-304-suvi-bg-300x294.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/X1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-aia-304-suvi-bg-768x752.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/X1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-aia-304-suvi-bg-70x70.webp 70w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 852px) 100vw, 852px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">X1.8 solar flare on January 4, 2025. Credit: NOAA\/GOES-16 SUVI, The Watchers<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls=\"\" loop=\"\" playsinline=\"\" class=\"perfmatters-lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025.webm\"\/><noscript><video controls=\"\" loop=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025.webm\" playsinline=\"\"\/><\/noscript><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">X1.8 solar flare on January 4, 2025. Credit: NOAA\/GOES-16 SUVI, The Watchers<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"475\" alt=\"drap x1.8 solar flare january 4 2025\" class=\"wp-image-213361 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/drap-x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/drap-x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025.webp 850w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/drap-x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-300x168.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/drap-x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-768x429.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/drap-x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-180x100.webp 180w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"475\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/drap-x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025.webp\" alt=\"drap x1.8 solar flare january 4 2025\" class=\"wp-image-213361\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/drap-x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025.webp 850w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/drap-x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-300x168.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/drap-x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-768x429.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/drap-x1.8-solar-flare-january-4-2025-180x100.webp 180w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: SWPC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>A CME produced on January 1 was detected at DSCOVR spacecraft at Sun-Earth L1 Lagrange point \u2014 about 1.5 million km (1 million miles) from Earth, at 02:11 UTC on January 4.<\/p>\n<p>This was a glancing blow that sparked G1 \u2013 Minor geomagnetic storming over the next couple of hours.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"600\" alt=\"enlil cme forecast january 4 2025\" class=\"wp-image-213333 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/enlil-cme-forecast-january-4-2025.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/enlil-cme-forecast-january-4-2025.webp 960w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/enlil-cme-forecast-january-4-2025-300x188.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/enlil-cme-forecast-january-4-2025-768x480.webp 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/enlil-cme-forecast-january-4-2025.webp\" alt=\"enlil cme forecast january 4 2025\" class=\"wp-image-213333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/enlil-cme-forecast-january-4-2025.webp 960w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/enlil-cme-forecast-january-4-2025-300x188.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/enlil-cme-forecast-january-4-2025-768x480.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: SWPC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"799\" alt=\"rtsw 3 days to january 4 2025\" class=\"wp-image-213332 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/rtsw-3-days-to-january-4-2025-1024x799.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/rtsw-3-days-to-january-4-2025-1024x799.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/rtsw-3-days-to-january-4-2025-300x234.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/rtsw-3-days-to-january-4-2025-768x600.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/rtsw-3-days-to-january-4-2025.webp 1158w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"799\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/rtsw-3-days-to-january-4-2025-1024x799.webp\" alt=\"rtsw 3 days to january 4 2025\" class=\"wp-image-213332\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/rtsw-3-days-to-january-4-2025-1024x799.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/rtsw-3-days-to-january-4-2025-300x234.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/rtsw-3-days-to-january-4-2025-768x600.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/rtsw-3-days-to-january-4-2025.webp 1158w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><\/figure>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"267\" alt=\"estimated-planetary-k-in january 4 2025\" class=\"wp-image-213327 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/estimated-planetary-k-in-january-4-2025-1024x267.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/estimated-planetary-k-in-january-4-2025-1024x267.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/estimated-planetary-k-in-january-4-2025-300x78.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/estimated-planetary-k-in-january-4-2025-768x200.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/estimated-planetary-k-in-january-4-2025-1536x400.webp 1536w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/estimated-planetary-k-in-january-4-2025-2048x533.webp 2048w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/estimated-planetary-k-in-january-4-2025-1024x267.webp\" alt=\"estimated-planetary-k-in january 4 2025\" class=\"wp-image-213327\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/estimated-planetary-k-in-january-4-2025-1024x267.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/estimated-planetary-k-in-january-4-2025-300x78.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/estimated-planetary-k-in-january-4-2025-768x200.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/estimated-planetary-k-in-january-4-2025-1536x400.webp 1536w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/estimated-planetary-k-in-january-4-2025-2048x533.webp 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: SWPC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>There are currently 11 sunspot regions on the Earth side of the Sun.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"779\" alt=\"swpc solar synoptic analysis january 4 2025\" class=\"wp-image-213336 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/swpc-solar-synoptic-analysis-january-4-2025-1024x779.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/swpc-solar-synoptic-analysis-january-4-2025-1024x779.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/swpc-solar-synoptic-analysis-january-4-2025-300x228.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/swpc-solar-synoptic-analysis-january-4-2025-768x584.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/swpc-solar-synoptic-analysis-january-4-2025.webp 1027w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"779\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/swpc-solar-synoptic-analysis-january-4-2025-1024x779.webp\" alt=\"swpc solar synoptic analysis january 4 2025\" class=\"wp-image-213336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/swpc-solar-synoptic-analysis-january-4-2025-1024x779.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/swpc-solar-synoptic-analysis-january-4-2025-300x228.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/swpc-solar-synoptic-analysis-january-4-2025-768x584.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/swpc-solar-synoptic-analysis-january-4-2025.webp 1027w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: SWPC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Solar activity is expected to remain at moderate to high levels over the next 3 days, with 55% chance of M-class flares and 10 \u2013 15% chance of X-class.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s a slight chance for S1 \u2013 Minor solar radiation storm through January 6.<\/p>\n<p>Isolated periods of G1 \u2013 Minor geomagnetic storming are likely today and tomorrow due to combined effects of CME and positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS).<\/p>\n<p>This activity follows the G4 \u2013 Severe geomagnetic storm, with a brief period of G5 \u2013 Extreme, on January 1, 2025, after two CMEs produced on December 29 impacted Earth.<\/p>\n<p>References:<\/p>\n<p><sup>1<\/sup>\u00a0Forecast Discussion \u2013\u00a0NOAA\/SWPC\u00a0\u2013 Issued at 12:30 UTC on January 4, 2025<\/p>\n<p><!-- MOLONGUI AUTHORSHIP PLUGIN 4.9.7 --><br \/>\n<!-- https:\/\/www.molongui.com\/wordpress-plugin-post-authors --><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/2025\/01\/04\/major-x1-8-solar-flare-erupts-from-ar-3947-third-x-class-in-a-day\/?rand=772108\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A large coronal mass ejection (CME), with an estimated velocity of 314 km\/s, was produced during the event, but the location of this region still doesn\u2019t favor Earth-directed CMEs. Radio&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":792417,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-792416","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-space-weather-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/792416","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=792416"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/792416\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/792417"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=792416"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=792416"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=792416"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}