{"id":793257,"date":"2025-02-02T12:48:09","date_gmt":"2025-02-02T17:48:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=793257"},"modified":"2025-02-02T12:48:09","modified_gmt":"2025-02-02T17:48:09","slug":"earth-facing-active-region-3977-produces-m5-1-solar-flare","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=793257","title":{"rendered":"Earth-facing Active Region 3977 produces M5.1 solar flare"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>An impulsive solar flare registered as M5.1 erupted from Active Region 3977 at 14:04 UTC on February 2, 2025. The event started at 13:58 and ended at 14:08 UTC.<\/p>\n<p>While there were no radio signatures indicating that a coronal mass ejection was produced, this region is currently positioned at the center of the solar disk, increasing the likelihood of Earth-directed solar flares in the coming days.<\/p>\n<p>Radio signatures were forecast to be most affected over South America and the South Pacific Ocean at the time of the flare.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"perfmatters-lazy-youtube\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/cQANnf6UYr0\" data-id=\"cQANnf6UYr0\" data-query=\"feature=oembed\" onclick=\"perfmattersLazyLoadYouTube(this);\">\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><noscript><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Impulsive M5.1 solar flare on February 2, 2025 (4K)\" width=\"1110\" height=\"624\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/cQANnf6UYr0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/noscript>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" alt=\"goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute 3 days to february 2 2025\" class=\"wp-image-215606 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-3-days-to-february-2-2025-1024x576.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-3-days-to-february-2-2025-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-3-days-to-february-2-2025-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-3-days-to-february-2-2025-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-3-days-to-february-2-2025-180x100.webp 180w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-3-days-to-february-2-2025.webp 1200w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-3-days-to-february-2-2025-1024x576.webp\" alt=\"goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute 3 days to february 2 2025\" class=\"wp-image-215606\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-3-days-to-february-2-2025-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-3-days-to-february-2-2025-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-3-days-to-february-2-2025-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-3-days-to-february-2-2025-180x100.webp 180w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-3-days-to-february-2-2025.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: SWPC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"475\" alt=\"drap m5.1 solar flare february 2 2025\" class=\"wp-image-215607 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/drap-m5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/drap-m5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025.webp 850w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/drap-m5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-300x168.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/drap-m5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-768x429.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/drap-m5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-180x100.webp 180w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"475\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/drap-m5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025.webp\" alt=\"drap m5.1 solar flare february 2 2025\" class=\"wp-image-215607\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/drap-m5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025.webp 850w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/drap-m5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-300x168.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/drap-m5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-768x429.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/drap-m5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-180x100.webp 180w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: SWPC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"907\" height=\"839\" alt=\"M5.1 solar flare february 2 2025 sdo aia 131\" class=\"wp-image-215604 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/M5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-sdo-aia-131.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/M5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-sdo-aia-131.webp 907w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/M5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-sdo-aia-131-300x278.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/M5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-sdo-aia-131-768x710.webp 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 907px) 100vw, 907px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"907\" height=\"839\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/M5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-sdo-aia-131.webp\" alt=\"M5.1 solar flare february 2 2025 sdo aia 131\" class=\"wp-image-215604\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/M5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-sdo-aia-131.webp 907w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/M5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-sdo-aia-131-300x278.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/M5.1-solar-flare-february-2-2025-sdo-aia-131-768x710.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 907px) 100vw, 907px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">M5.1 solar flare on February 2, 2025. Credit: NASA SDO\/AIA 131, Helioviewer, The Watchers<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>This event follows M3.0 from region 3981 at 10:12 UTC. Associated with this event was a Type II Radio Emission with an estimated velocity of 664 km\/s, suggesting a CME was produced. Subsequent coronagraph imagery showed the CME heading away from Earth.<\/p>\n<p>This region has exhibited rapid growth in its intermediate and trailer spots over the past 24 hours and is now moving toward the center of the solar disk.<\/p>\n<p>Other notable activity over the past 24 hours included a Type II Radio Emission with an estimated velocity of 736 km\/s, beginning at 05:40 UTC. This was associated with a halo CME originating on the Sun\u2019s far side.<\/p>\n<p>Solar activity is likely to remain at minor to moderate levels over the next two days, with 55% of M- and 15% of X-class solar flares, primarily due to potential from an active region cluster in the NE quadrant.<\/p>\n<p>The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained at moderate levels over the past 24 hours, while the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"894\" alt=\"RTSW 3days to febraury 2 2025\" class=\"wp-image-215609 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/RTSW-3days-to-febraury-2-2025-1024x894.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/RTSW-3days-to-febraury-2-2025-1024x894.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/RTSW-3days-to-febraury-2-2025-300x262.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/RTSW-3days-to-febraury-2-2025-768x671.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/RTSW-3days-to-febraury-2-2025.webp 1158w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"894\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/RTSW-3days-to-febraury-2-2025-1024x894.webp\" alt=\"RTSW 3days to febraury 2 2025\" class=\"wp-image-215609\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/RTSW-3days-to-febraury-2-2025-1024x894.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/RTSW-3days-to-febraury-2-2025-300x262.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/RTSW-3days-to-febraury-2-2025-768x671.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/RTSW-3days-to-febraury-2-2025.webp 1158w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: SWPC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>A positive polarity coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS) on February 2 and 3 is expected to increase the chances of the 2 MeV electron flux reaching high levels through February 4. The greater than 10 MeV proton levels have a slight chance of reaching S1 \u2013 Minor storm levels between February 2 and 4.<\/p>\n<p>Solar wind conditions remained influenced by a positive polarity CH HSS during the same period. The total magnetic field strength decreased from a peak of 14 nT to approximately 5 nT by 22:40 UTC on February 1.<\/p>\n<p>Solar wind speeds, as reported by the ACE spacecraft, briefly peaked at just over 700 km\/s before declining to around 600 km\/s later in the period. The phi angle remained predominantly in the positive sector.<\/p>\n<p>Enhancements in solar wind parameters are expected to continue through February 4 due to persistent, though gradually weakening, positive polarity CH HSS influence. Additionally, interaction with the CME from January 31 could impact Earth\u2019s magnetosphere on February 4.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" alt=\"charmap february 1 2025\" class=\"wp-image-215612 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025-300x300.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025-150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025-768x768.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025-600x600.webp 600w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025-70x70.webp 70w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025.webp\" alt=\"charmap february 1 2025\" class=\"wp-image-215612\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025-300x300.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025-150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025-768x768.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025-600x600.webp 600w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/charmap-february-1-2025-70x70.webp 70w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Coronal Holes and Active Regions map \u2013 February 1, 2025. Credit: NASA\/SDO, Solen<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels under the influence of the positive polarity CH HSS. Active geomagnetic conditions are expected on February 2, with a chance of isolated G1 \u2013 Minor storm conditions.<\/p>\n<p>Conditions are likely to drop to an unsettled level by February 3 as the CH HSS influence diminishes. Late on February 4, active conditions may return if the CME from January 31 interacts with Earth\u2019s magnetic field.<\/p>\n<p>References:<\/p>\n<p><sup>1<\/sup> Forecast Discussion \u2013 NOAA\/SWPC \u2013 Issued at 12:30 UTC on February 2, 2025<\/p>\n<p><!-- MOLONGUI AUTHORSHIP PLUGIN 4.9.7 --><br \/>\n<!-- https:\/\/www.molongui.com\/wordpress-plugin-post-authors --><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/2025\/02\/02\/earth-facing-active-region-3977-produces-m5-1-solar-flare\/?rand=772108\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An impulsive solar flare registered as M5.1 erupted from Active Region 3977 at 14:04 UTC on February 2, 2025. The event started at 13:58 and ended at 14:08 UTC. While&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":793258,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-793257","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-space-weather-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/793257","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=793257"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/793257\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/793258"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=793257"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=793257"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=793257"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}