{"id":793883,"date":"2025-02-25T12:01:05","date_gmt":"2025-02-25T17:01:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=793883"},"modified":"2025-02-25T12:01:05","modified_gmt":"2025-02-25T17:01:05","slug":"that-city-killer-asteroid-it-wont-hit-earth-after-all-npr","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=793883","title":{"rendered":"That &#8216;city-killer&#8217; asteroid? It won&#8217;t hit Earth after all : NPR"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"storytext\">\n<div id=\"resg-s1-50600\" class=\"bucketwrap image large\">\n<div class=\"imagewrap has-source-dimensions\" data-crop-type=\"\" style=\"&#10;        --source-width: 4000;&#10;        --source-height: 3871;&#10;    \">\n        <picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/400\/quality\/85\/format\/webp\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 400w,&#10;https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/600\/quality\/85\/format\/webp\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 600w,&#10;https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/800\/quality\/85\/format\/webp\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 800w,&#10;https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/900\/quality\/85\/format\/webp\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 900w,&#10;https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/1200\/quality\/85\/format\/webp\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 1200w,&#10;https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/1600\/quality\/85\/format\/webp\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 1600w,&#10;https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/1800\/quality\/85\/format\/webp\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 1800w\" data-template=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/{width}\/quality\/{quality}\/format\/{format}\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg\" sizes=\"(min-width: 1300px) 763px, (min-width: 1025px) calc(100vw - 496px), (min-width: 768px) calc(100vw - 171px), calc(100vw - 30px)\" class=\"img\" type=\"image\/webp\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/400\/quality\/85\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 400w,&#10;https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/600\/quality\/85\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 600w,&#10;https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/800\/quality\/85\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 800w,&#10;https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/900\/quality\/85\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 900w,&#10;https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/1200\/quality\/85\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 1200w,&#10;https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/1600\/quality\/85\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 1600w,&#10;https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/1800\/quality\/85\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg 1800w\" data-template=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4000x3871+0+0\/resize\/{width}\/quality\/{quality}\/format\/{format}\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F38%2F7d%2Ffc6806094040b5a42e3ed5d071e4%2Fap25044782297607.jpg\" sizes=\"(min-width: 1300px) 763px, (min-width: 1025px) calc(100vw - 496px), (min-width: 768px) calc(100vw - 171px), calc(100vw - 30px)\" class=\"img\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"\/>\n        <\/picture>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"credit-caption\">\n<div class=\"caption-wrap\">\n<div class=\"caption\" aria-label=\"Image caption\">\n<p>\n                This image made available by University of Hawaii&#8217;s asteroid impact alert system shows the motion of asteroid 2024 YR4 over about one hour, Dec. 27, 2024.<br \/>\n                <b class=\"credit\" aria-label=\"Image credit\"><\/p>\n<p>                    AP\/ATLAS \/ University of Hawaii \/ NASA<\/p>\n<p>                <\/b><br \/>\n                <b class=\"hide-caption\"><b>hide caption<\/b><\/b>\n            <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>            <b class=\"toggle-caption\"><b>toggle caption<\/b><\/b>\n    <\/div>\n<p>    <span class=\"credit\" aria-label=\"Image credit\"><\/p>\n<p>        AP\/ATLAS \/ University of Hawaii \/ NASA<\/p>\n<p>    <\/span>\n<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The astronomers warned us this was the most likely outcome: the probability that a &#8220;city killer&#8221; asteroid that was once calculated with a better than 3% chance of striking Earth in 2032 is no longer a concern.<\/p>\n<div id=\"resnx-s1-5307892-100\" class=\"bucketwrap internallink insettwocolumn inset2col \">\n<div class=\"bucket img\">\n                  <picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1937x1937+0+532\/resize\/100\/quality\/85\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fb4%2Fb9%2F4f8a7a3e4921b6c3badaa6aed338%2Fap859897518913.jpg\" data-original=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1937x1937+0+532\/resize\/100\/quality\/100\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fb4%2Fb9%2F4f8a7a3e4921b6c3badaa6aed338%2Fap859897518913.jpg\" data-template=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1937x1937+0+532\/resize\/{width}\/quality\/{quality}\/format\/{format}\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fb4%2Fb9%2F4f8a7a3e4921b6c3badaa6aed338%2Fap859897518913.jpg\" data-format=\"webp\" class=\"img lazyOnLoad\" type=\"image\/webp\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1937x1937+0+532\/resize\/100\/quality\/85\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fb4%2Fb9%2F4f8a7a3e4921b6c3badaa6aed338%2Fap859897518913.jpg\" data-original=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1937x1937+0+532\/resize\/100\/quality\/100\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fb4%2Fb9%2F4f8a7a3e4921b6c3badaa6aed338%2Fap859897518913.jpg\" data-template=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1937x1937+0+532\/resize\/{width}\/quality\/{quality}\/format\/{format}\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fb4%2Fb9%2F4f8a7a3e4921b6c3badaa6aed338%2Fap859897518913.jpg\" data-format=\"jpeg\" class=\"img lazyOnLoad\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1937x1937+0+532\/resize\/100\/quality\/100\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fb4%2Fb9%2F4f8a7a3e4921b6c3badaa6aed338%2Fap859897518913.jpg\" data-template=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1937x1937+0+532\/resize\/{width}\/quality\/{quality}\/format\/{format}\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fb4%2Fb9%2F4f8a7a3e4921b6c3badaa6aed338%2Fap859897518913.jpg\" data-format=\"jpeg\" class=\"img lazyOnLoad\" alt=\"A meteorite contrail is seen in the Chelyabinsk region of Russia on Friday, Feb. 15, 2013 in a photo taken by a mobile phone camera, The meteor streaked across the sky of over the Ural Mountains, causing a shockwave and reportedly injuring hundreds of people, including many who were hurt by broken glass.\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/picture>\n<p><!-- END CLASS=\"BUCKETBLOCK\" -->\n      <\/div>\n<p><!-- END CLASS=\"BUCKET IMG\" -->\n   <\/div>\n<p><!-- END ID=\"RESNX-S1-5307892-100\" CLASS=\"BUCKETWRAP INTERNALLINK INSETTWOCOLUMN INSET2COL \" --><\/p>\n<p>The near-Earth object 2024 YR4 was found in December by a telescope in Chile. It crossed an important threshold last month when the <u>International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN)<\/u> \u2014 a global collaboration started in 2013 to monitor and track potential Earth impactors \u2014 issued a notification alerting the astronomical community that it had a greater than 1% chance of hitting us in seven years. <\/p>\n<p>Now, &#8220;it&#8217;s down to about one in a few hundred thousand \u2026 and that&#8217;s below the background of things we&#8217;re very interested in,&#8221; IAWN Manager Tim Spahr says.<\/p>\n<aside id=\"ad-backstage-wrap\" class=\"ad-wrap backstage\" aria-label=\"advertisement\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>&#8220;It went from 1% to 3% in a couple of weeks,&#8221; Spahr says. &#8220;I was a little surprised, but also not shocked, really.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>When Paul Chodas, director of the <u>NASA JPL Center for NEO Studies<\/u> (CNEOS), spoke to NPR earlier this month, he stressed that the probability that 2024 YR4 would hit the Earth &#8220;could fall to zero almost any day now,&#8221; as new observations came in.<\/p>\n<p>Those observations were challenging, as the object was moving out of range for even the most powerful ground-based telescopes to see. Nonetheless, astronomers were able to get the data they needed before 2024 YR4 dimmed too much, according to Spahr. That allowed them to finally rule out a strike, he says.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The real trick of this is that the asteroid doesn&#8217;t tell us where it is,&#8221; he says. &#8220;We&#8217;re measuring the projection of it on the sky &#8230; we&#8217;re literally estimating every night we see where it is, and then we adjust that when more observations come in.&#8221;<\/p>\n<div id=\"resnx-s1-5307892-101\" class=\"bucketwrap internallink insettwocolumn inset2col \">\n<div class=\"bucket img\">\n                  <picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1333x1333+334+0\/resize\/100\/quality\/85\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F6d%2F39%2Fb4f6cbf848878a70fc7b183c93aa%2Fap24290524401106.jpg\" data-original=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1333x1333+334+0\/resize\/100\/quality\/100\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F6d%2F39%2Fb4f6cbf848878a70fc7b183c93aa%2Fap24290524401106.jpg\" data-template=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1333x1333+334+0\/resize\/{width}\/quality\/{quality}\/format\/{format}\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F6d%2F39%2Fb4f6cbf848878a70fc7b183c93aa%2Fap24290524401106.jpg\" data-format=\"webp\" class=\"img lazyOnLoad\" type=\"image\/webp\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1333x1333+334+0\/resize\/100\/quality\/85\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F6d%2F39%2Fb4f6cbf848878a70fc7b183c93aa%2Fap24290524401106.jpg\" data-original=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1333x1333+334+0\/resize\/100\/quality\/100\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F6d%2F39%2Fb4f6cbf848878a70fc7b183c93aa%2Fap24290524401106.jpg\" data-template=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1333x1333+334+0\/resize\/{width}\/quality\/{quality}\/format\/{format}\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F6d%2F39%2Fb4f6cbf848878a70fc7b183c93aa%2Fap24290524401106.jpg\" data-format=\"jpeg\" class=\"img lazyOnLoad\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1333x1333+334+0\/resize\/100\/quality\/100\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F6d%2F39%2Fb4f6cbf848878a70fc7b183c93aa%2Fap24290524401106.jpg\" data-template=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/1333x1333+334+0\/resize\/{width}\/quality\/{quality}\/format\/{format}\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F6d%2F39%2Fb4f6cbf848878a70fc7b183c93aa%2Fap24290524401106.jpg\" data-format=\"jpeg\" class=\"img lazyOnLoad\" alt=\"This photo provided by NASA shows the Orionid meteors on Oct. 13, 2015.\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/picture>\n<p><!-- END CLASS=\"BUCKETBLOCK\" -->\n      <\/div>\n<p><!-- END CLASS=\"BUCKET IMG\" -->\n   <\/div>\n<p><!-- END ID=\"RESNX-S1-5307892-101\" CLASS=\"BUCKETWRAP INTERNALLINK INSETTWOCOLUMN INSET2COL \" --><\/p>\n<p>After weeks at the top of the CNEOS&#8217; <u>Sentry<\/u> list of objects of concern, 2024 YR4 has seen a steady drop in recent days. It once registered an attention-grabbing three on the Torino Scale \u2013 a level that suggests &#8220;attention by the public and by public officials is merited if the encounter is less than a decade away.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>The asteroid now rates zero on the scale.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2025\/02\/25\/nx-s1-5307892\/asteroid-2024yr4-not-hitting-earth-after-all?rand=771664\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This image made available by University of Hawaii&#8217;s asteroid impact alert system shows the motion of asteroid 2024 YR4 over about one hour, Dec. 27, 2024. AP\/ATLAS \/ University of&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":793884,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[44],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-793883","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-npr"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/793883","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=793883"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/793883\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/793884"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=793883"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=793883"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=793883"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}