{"id":798069,"date":"2025-09-06T03:41:30","date_gmt":"2025-09-06T08:41:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=798069"},"modified":"2025-09-06T03:41:30","modified_gmt":"2025-09-06T08:41:30","slug":"cme-impact-and-high-speed-stream-forecast-to-enhance-geomagnetic-activity-through-september-8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=798069","title":{"rendered":"CME impact and high-speed stream forecast to enhance geomagnetic activity through September 8"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p data-start=\"569\" data-end=\"751\"><strong>A large filament eruption was observed at 19:45 UTC on September 4, 2025, followed by at least three CMEs. Model runs suggest a likely arrival early on September 7. In addition, a recurrent positive polarity coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS) activity is expected to enhance solar wind parameters beginning early September 6, with G1 \u2013 Minor to G2 \u2013 Moderate geomagnetic storm conditions likely through September 8.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>An approximate 7 degree filament eruption centered near N12W04 was observed at 19:45 UTC on September 4, as detected in GONG H-alpha imagery. This eruption was followed by the appearance of multiple coronal mass ejections (CMEs), as seen in coronagraph data from CCOR and LASCO.<\/p>\n<p>The first CME, narrow and directed toward the south-southwest, appeared in CCOR imagery around 18:30 UTC on September 4. A second CME, a faint full halo, was observed around 20:15 UTC the same day. Later, LASCO C2 recorded a third CME directed toward the north-northwest at 01:36 UTC on September 5.<\/p>\n<p>Multiple ensemble model outputs suggest a likely arrival early on September 7.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">HUXt CME impact forecast for September 7, 2025. Credit: University of Reading<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video aligncenter\"><video controls=\"\" loop=\"\" playsinline=\"\" class=\"perfmatters-lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/sdo-aia-304-september-4-2025-movie.webm\"\/><noscript><video controls=\"\" loop=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/sdo-aia-304-september-4-2025-movie.webm\" playsinline=\"\"\/><\/noscript><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Solar filament eruption on September 4, 2025. Credit: NASA\/SDO AIA 304<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>In advance of the CME arrival, enhancements in solar wind speed and interplanetary magnetic field are anticipated by early September 6 due to a recurrent positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS). Combined influences from the CH HSS and CME arrival are expected to result in elevated geomagnetic activity.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"894\" alt=\"rtsw 3 days to september 6 2025\" class=\"wp-image-232850 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/rtsw-3-days-to-september-6-2025-1024x894.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/rtsw-3-days-to-september-6-2025-1024x894.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/rtsw-3-days-to-september-6-2025-300x262.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/rtsw-3-days-to-september-6-2025-768x671.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/rtsw-3-days-to-september-6-2025.webp 1158w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"894\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/rtsw-3-days-to-september-6-2025-1024x894.webp\" alt=\"rtsw 3 days to september 6 2025\" class=\"wp-image-232850\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/rtsw-3-days-to-september-6-2025-1024x894.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/rtsw-3-days-to-september-6-2025-300x262.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/rtsw-3-days-to-september-6-2025-768x671.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/rtsw-3-days-to-september-6-2025.webp 1158w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: SWPC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>The NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) forecasts G1 \u2013 Minor geomagnetic storm conditions early on September 6, increasing to possible G2 \u2013 Moderate levels on September 7.<\/p>\n<p>CH HSS effects are expected to persist into September 8, maintaining unsettled to active conditions.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"857\" height=\"835\" alt=\"sunspots on september 6 2025 sdo hmi numbered\" class=\"wp-image-232852 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/sunspots-on-september-6-2025-sdo-hmi-numbered.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/sunspots-on-september-6-2025-sdo-hmi-numbered.webp 857w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/sunspots-on-september-6-2025-sdo-hmi-numbered-300x292.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/sunspots-on-september-6-2025-sdo-hmi-numbered-768x748.webp 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 857px) 100vw, 857px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"857\" height=\"835\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/sunspots-on-september-6-2025-sdo-hmi-numbered.webp\" alt=\"sunspots on september 6 2025 sdo hmi numbered\" class=\"wp-image-232852\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/sunspots-on-september-6-2025-sdo-hmi-numbered.webp 857w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/sunspots-on-september-6-2025-sdo-hmi-numbered-300x292.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/sunspots-on-september-6-2025-sdo-hmi-numbered-768x748.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 857px) 100vw, 857px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Sunspots on September 6, 2025. Credit: NASA\/SDO HMI<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Solar activity is likely to remain at moderate levels through September 6, with isolated M-class flares possible due to flare-capable Active Regions 4197 and 4207. M-class flare probabilities decrease on September 7 and 8 as Region 4197 rotates off the visible disk.<\/p>\n<p>References:<\/p>\n<p><sup>1<\/sup> Forecast Discussion \u2013 NOAA\/SWPC \u2013 Issued at 00:30 UTC on September 6, 2025<\/p>\n<p><!-- MOLONGUI AUTHORSHIP PLUGIN 5.1.0 --><br \/>\n<!-- https:\/\/www.molongui.com\/wordpress-plugin-post-authors --><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/2025\/09\/06\/cme-impact-high-speed-stream-forecast-geomagnetic-activity-through-september-8\/?rand=772108\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A large filament eruption was observed at 19:45 UTC on September 4, 2025, followed by at least three CMEs. Model runs suggest a likely arrival early on September 7. In&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":798070,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-798069","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-space-weather-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/798069","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=798069"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/798069\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/798070"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=798069"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=798069"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=798069"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}