{"id":800458,"date":"2026-02-01T09:06:29","date_gmt":"2026-02-01T14:06:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=800458"},"modified":"2026-02-01T09:06:29","modified_gmt":"2026-02-01T14:06:29","slug":"major-x1-0-flare-erupts-from-region-4366-earth-directed-cmes-possible-in-days-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=800458","title":{"rendered":"Major X1.0 flare erupts from Region 4366, Earth-directed CMEs possible in days ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div xmlns:default=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\">\n<p>Solar activity reached major levels on February 1 as Active Region 4366 (N14E40, beta-gamma-delta) produced a series of M-class flares followed by a major X1.0 flare at 12:33 UTC.<\/p>\n<p>Activity began intensifying late January 31 with several C-class flares ranging from C2.8 to C7.8 between 16:00 and 22:18 UTC.<\/p>\n<p>By early February 1, the region produced a steady sequence of M1.7, M1.0, and M1.9 flares, followed by M6.6, M2.4, and M6.7 before X1.0, suggesting rapid magnetic reconfiguration and increasing magnetic shear within Region 4366\u2019s delta-spot structure as it rotates toward the central solar meridian.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: SWPC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"perfmatters-lazy-youtube\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/fLlRQDWBIhI\" data-id=\"fLlRQDWBIhI\" data-query=\"feature=oembed\" onclick=\"perfmattersLazyLoadYouTube(this);\">\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"YouTube video\" width=\"480\" height=\"360\" data-pin-nopin=\"true\" nopin=\"nopin\" class=\"perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/fLlRQDWBIhI\/hqdefault.jpg\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/fLlRQDWBIhI\/hqdefault.jpg\" alt=\"YouTube video\" width=\"480\" height=\"360\" data-pin-nopin=\"true\" nopin=\"nopin\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><noscript><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Major X1.0 flare erupts from Region 4366, Earth-directed CMEs possible in days ahead\" width=\"1110\" height=\"624\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/fLlRQDWBIhI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/noscript>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">SDO AIA 304 imagery from 02:00 to 12:47 UTC on February 1, 2026, showing M6.7, X1.0, and M5.8 flares from Active Region 4366<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Radio frequencies following the X1.0 flare were forecast to be most degraded over the South Atlantic Ocean and parts of South America and Africa.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"475\" alt=\"drap x1.0 solar flare february 1 2026\" class=\"wp-image-242259 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/drap-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/drap-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026.webp 850w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/drap-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026-300x168.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/drap-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026-768x429.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/drap-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026-180x100.webp 180w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"475\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/drap-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026.webp\" alt=\"drap x1.0 solar flare february 1 2026\" class=\"wp-image-242259\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/drap-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026.webp 850w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/drap-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026-300x168.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/drap-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026-768x429.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/drap-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026-180x100.webp 180w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: SWPC<br \/><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"852\" height=\"834\" alt=\"sdo aia 131 x1.0 solar flare february 1 2026\" class=\"wp-image-242263 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sdo-aia-131-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sdo-aia-131-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026.webp 852w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sdo-aia-131-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026-300x294.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sdo-aia-131-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026-768x752.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sdo-aia-131-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026-70x70.webp 70w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 852px) 100vw, 852px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"852\" height=\"834\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sdo-aia-131-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026.webp\" alt=\"sdo aia 131 x1.0 solar flare february 1 2026\" class=\"wp-image-242263\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sdo-aia-131-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026.webp 852w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sdo-aia-131-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026-300x294.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sdo-aia-131-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026-768x752.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sdo-aia-131-x1.0-solar-flare-february-1-2026-70x70.webp 70w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 852px) 100vw, 852px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">X1.0 solar flare on February 1, 2026. Credit: NASA\/SDO AIA 131, The Watchers<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Preliminary analysis indicates possible coronal-shock formations today, suggesting a coronal mass ejection (CME) may have accompanied one or more of the day\u2019s major events.<\/p>\n<p>No solar proton event has been detected to this time. GOES-18 proton flux remains below the S1 \u2013 Minor threshold, while electron flux above 2 MeV continues at high levels.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" alt=\"sunspots on february 1 2026\" class=\"wp-image-242260 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026-300x300.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026-150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026-768x768.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026-600x600.webp 600w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026-70x70.webp 70w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026.webp\" alt=\"sunspots on february 1 2026\" class=\"wp-image-242260\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026-300x300.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026-150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026-768x768.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026-600x600.webp 600w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/sunspots-on-february-1-2026-70x70.webp 70w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Sunspots on February 1, 2026. Credit: NASA\/SDO HMI<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Solar activity is forecast to remain at moderate to high levels through February 3, with further M-class flares likely and a slight chance of an isolated X-class event.<\/p>\n<p>Solar-wind parameters show an ambient regime, with total field 3\u20136 nT and Bz mostly neutral to \u22124 nT, and flow speed below 350 km\/s. Geomagnetic field activity is at quiet levels.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"799\" alt=\"rtsw 3 days to feb 1 2026\" class=\"wp-image-242261 perfmatters-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/rtsw-3-days-to-feb-1-2026-1024x799.webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/rtsw-3-days-to-feb-1-2026-1024x799.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/rtsw-3-days-to-feb-1-2026-300x234.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/rtsw-3-days-to-feb-1-2026-768x600.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/rtsw-3-days-to-feb-1-2026.webp 1158w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"799\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/rtsw-3-days-to-feb-1-2026-1024x799.webp\" alt=\"rtsw 3 days to feb 1 2026\" class=\"wp-image-242261\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/rtsw-3-days-to-feb-1-2026-1024x799.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/rtsw-3-days-to-feb-1-2026-300x234.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/rtsw-3-days-to-feb-1-2026-768x600.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/rtsw-3-days-to-feb-1-2026.webp 1158w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: SWPC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>A new M5.8 flare erupted at 12:50 UTC, less than twenty minutes after the X1.0 event, confirming that Region 4366 remains highly energized.<\/p>\n<p>While current geomagnetic conditions remain calm, the sequence of strong flares has increased the probability of Earth-directed CMEs over the next 24 \u2013 48 hours as Region 4366 continues to rotate toward a more geoeffective position near the central solar meridian.<\/p>\n<p>The region\u2019s beta-gamma-delta configuration, its demonstrated ability to produce major-class flares, and the presence of type II radio bursts all support the likelihood of further eruptive activity capable of producing coronal mass ejections into the Earth-directed zone.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MOLONGUI AUTHORSHIP PLUGIN 5.1.0 --><br \/>\n<!-- https:\/\/www.molongui.com\/wordpress-plugin-post-authors --><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/2026\/02\/01\/major-x1-0-flare-erupts-from-region-4366-earth-directed-cmes-possible-in-days-ahead\/?rand=772108\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Solar activity reached major levels on February 1 as Active Region 4366 (N14E40, beta-gamma-delta) produced a series of M-class flares followed by a major X1.0 flare at 12:33 UTC. Activity&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":800459,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-800458","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-space-weather-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/800458","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=800458"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/800458\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/800459"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=800458"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=800458"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=800458"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}