{"id":801956,"date":"2026-04-27T11:42:29","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T16:42:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=801956"},"modified":"2026-04-27T11:42:29","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T16:42:29","slug":"m-class-flare-risk-remains-high-from-regions-4420-and-4425-through-april-29","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/?p=801956","title":{"rendered":"M-class flare risk remains high from Regions 4420 and 4425 through April 29"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Region 4420 produced three M-class flares on April 26 \u2014 an M1.4 flare at 14:03 UTC, an M1.7 at 19:24 UTC, and the M6.0 flare at 22:57 UTC with an associated Type II radio sweep estimated at 834 km\/s and an F10cm radio burst of 260 sfu. None of the events had an associated coronal mass ejection (CME) seen in coronagraph imagery.<\/p>\n<p>Region 4425 produced an M2.2 flare at 20:04 UTC on April 26 and an M1.0 flare at 06:45 UTC on April 27. Both these regions have a \u2018beta-gamma-delta\u2019 magnetic configuration, and are capable of producing strong to major eruptions. Their locations would favor at least partial Earth-directed components if either produces a sufficiently wide CME in the days ahead.<\/p>\n<p>SWPC forecasts a 70% probability of R1\u2013R2 radio blackouts on April 27, April 28, and April 29, while R3 or greater events carry a 25% probability on each of those days.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image credit: NASA SDO AIA\/304, The Watchers. Acquired at 15:08 UTC on April 27, 2026<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" data-lazyloaded=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/sunspots-on-april-27-2026.webp\" alt=\"sunspots on april 27 2026\" class=\"wp-image-246850\" srcset=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/sunspots-on-april-27-2026.webp 1024w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/sunspots-on-april-27-2026-300x300.webp 300w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/sunspots-on-april-27-2026-150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/sunspots-on-april-27-2026-768x768.webp 768w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/sunspots-on-april-27-2026-600x600.webp 600w, https:\/\/watchers.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/sunspots-on-april-27-2026-70x70.webp 70w\" data-sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Sunspots on April 27, 2026. Credit: NASA SDO\/HMI<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Solar radiation storm conditions remained below NOAA scale thresholds during the previous 24 hours. SWPC lists a 10% chance of S1 or greater solar radiation storm conditions on each day from April 27 through April 29, with greater than 10 MeV proton flux mainly forecast to remain at background levels.<\/p>\n<p>The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled in 24 hours to 12:30 UTC today. An isolated active period is still possible on April 27 positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream (+CH HSS) influences gradually wane.<\/p>\n<p>A return to mostly quiet conditions, with possible isolated unsettled levels, is expected by April 28. Unsettled conditions are anticipated late on April 29 with the arrival of a CIR ahead of an anticipated negative-polarity coronal hole high speed stream (-CH HSS).<\/p>\n<p>Solar wind parameters continued to reflect positive-polarity coronal hole high-speed stream influence, with possible weak transient effects mixed in. SWPC reported total magnetic field values ranging from 2 nT to 8 nT and solar wind speeds generally near 455 km\/s, with brief periods closer to 485 km\/s.<\/p>\n<p>Solar wind parameters are forecast to return near background levels from April 27 into April 28. Solar wind activity is forecast to increase late on April 29 with the expected arrival of a co-rotating interaction region ahead of a -CH HSS.<\/p>\n<p>References:<\/p>\n<p><sup>1<\/sup> Forecast Discussion \u2013 SWPC \u2013 Issued at 12:30 UTC on April 27, 2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/watchers.news\/2026\/04\/27\/m-class-flare-risk-remains-high-from-regions-4420-and-4425-through-april-29\/?rand=772108\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Region 4420 produced three M-class flares on April 26 \u2014 an M1.4 flare at 14:03 UTC, an M1.7 at 19:24 UTC, and the M6.0 flare at 22:57 UTC with an&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":801957,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-801956","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-space-weather-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/801956","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=801956"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/801956\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/801957"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=801956"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=801956"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spaceweekly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=801956"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}