What’s in the forecast and how do we know?

Here’s what the global temperature and rainfall conditions for the rest of this year are expected to be. The Earth Institute’s International Research Institute for Climate and Society’s (IRI) probabilistic outlooks for temperature and precipitation are updated monthly for six months into the future. The forecasts call for warmer than normal temperatures for portions of Africa, Australia, South America, south-central or southwestern Asia, southeastern Europe, the United States and Greenland. The likelihood of above average temperatures is highest for Greenland and northern North America. Cooler than normal temperatures are projected for northern and northwestern North America and portions of northern Asia. Southern Africa could see cooler temperatures in the August to October season.