Odds Drop for 6/8 Launch

Note: This information is not intended for wagering purposes.

The Space Weekly Official odds for an on time launch on Friday, have dropped to 32%.

This reduction is because of 2 factors;

The Florida afternoon showers showed themselves on Wednesday, causing Tornado warnings in Brevard County, the location of the Kennedy Space Center.

There have been reports about concerns with the external tank. Although NASA claims the concerns have been solved, it is an older tank, and when it is finally fueled, it is likely to still have wrong readings. This tank has already been attached and disconnected and reattached.

The chance of total vehicle loss is 11%

The Luck factor as explained below brings the chance of an ATO or RTLS to 17%

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Space Shuttle Launch Odds 6/8

Note: This information is not intended for wagering purposes.

The Space Weekly Official odds for an on time launch on Friday, is 38%.

Here is why;

Out of 117 Shuttle missions there have been only 59 that have launched on the scheduled day, so the average chance is about the flip of a coin.

Atlantis the Shuttle slated to be launched has only launched on time 48% of the time.

Of the 14 missions to be rolled back (2 were rolled back twice for a total of 16 rollbacks for 14 missions). Only 2 made their scheduled launch date.

Although the weather for the day is 70% favorable, the weather in the Cape area of Florida tends to be worse in the late afternoon than in the morning.

The final part of the equation is luck. This will be the first time Atlantis has had a launch attempt since 2002, almost 5 years of sitting.

Spaceweekly Victim of Charlie

The offices of Spaceweekly were without power for 6 days following the strike of Hurricane Charlie.

We are just now getting things back into shape and should be returning to regular news postings within the next few days.

6 days in Florida during August with no air conditioning is an experience that everyone should have in their life… :-)

Lunar Eclipse Photo from Florida

The editor presents his personal photo of the Lunar Eclipse.

This was taken with a 80-210 lens with a doubler on a Canon EOS Digital Rebel. A tripod was used.

The photo is full size
No processing was done, except to crop off a lot of the black area.