Exacerbation of the 2013-2016 Pan-Caribbean Drought by Anthropogenic Warming

Abstract: The Caribbean islands are expected to see more frequent and severe droughts from reduced precipitation and increased evaporative demand due to anthropogenic climate change. Between 2013 and 2016 the region experienced a “Pan-Caribbean” drought that was the most widespread event since 1950, due in part to El NiƱo in 2015/2016, but it is unknown whether its severity was exacerbated by anthropogenic climate change. We examine the role of recent warming on this drought, using new high-resolution …