Three CMEs heading toward Earth, impact expected on February 13


At least three coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are heading toward Earth. The impact is expected early on February 13 (UTC), producing G2 – Moderate or stronger geomagnetic storming.

Solar activity continues at moderate to high levels, following the X3.3 solar flare at 13:14 UTC on February 9.

On February 12, models show at least 3 CMEs, produced on February 8 and 10, are heading our way, with the impact expected between 03:00 and 05:00 UTC on February 13.

There appear to be two CMEs associated with the M9.0 solar flare on February 10 from Region 3576, SWPC forecasters said. The first was a full halo that could be fully seen by 00:00 UTC on February 11. A slower, narrow CME appeared at the same time with the bulk of the ejecta off the NNE limb.

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The geomagnetic field forecast calls for unsettled to G1 – Minor storming on February 12, increasing to active to G2 – Moderate storming on February 13. Unsettled to G1 – Minor conditions are expected on February 14 as CME activity persists.

Solar activity is likely to reach moderate levels with a slight chance for X-class flares through February 14.

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M6.5 solar flare erupts from AR 3576, G2 – Moderate geomagnetic storm watch

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Strong M9.0 solar flare erupts from geoeffective Region 3576

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