Asteroid COWECP5 to impact Earth over Russia on December 3


A newly-discovered asteroid currently designated COWECP5 is expected to impact Earth’s atmosphere over Siberia, Russia at around 16:15 UTC (08:15 PST) on December 3, 2024. This is the 11th predicted Earth impactor on record – and the 4th so far this year.

An asteroid discovered just several hours ago is expected to impact Earth’s atmosphere over Siberia, Russia at around 16:15 UTC (+/- 5 minutes) today.

The size of this asteroid is estimated to be about 70 cm (2.3 feet), making it a harmless object, with most of it expected to burn out in the atmosphere as a very bright fireball.

The object was discovered at Kitt Peaks National Observatory, Arizona at 05:55 UTC — some 10 hours before the impact.

Image credit: Richard Moissl

This is now the 11th predicted Earth impactor on record and the 4th so far this year, marking a new record for our civilization.

You can find them all, including links with more information about each of them and videos in the table below.

Predicted Earth impactors

Object / Type Discovery date (UTC) Impact date (UTC) Impact location Dimensions (~) Energy released (kt) Notes
2008 TC3 (Apollo) October 6, 2008 at 06:39 October 7, 2008 at 02:46 Nubian desert, Sudan 4 m (13.1 feet) 1 600 meteorites found. Total weight 11 kg.
2014 AA (Apollo) January 1, 2014 at 06:18 January 2, 2014 at 03:06 Atlantic Ocean 3 m (9.8 feet) 0.5 – 0.1
2018 LA (Apollo) June 2, 2018 at 08:22 June 2, 2018 at 16:44 Botswana/South Africa 3 m (9.8 feet) 0.4 At least 24 meteorites found. Ejected by asteroid Vesta. Howardite-Eucrite-Diogenite (HED) type material
2019 MO (Apollo) June 22, 2019 at 07:24 June 22, 2019 at 21:25 Puerto Rico 5 m (16.4 feet) 6 Possibly Alinda asteroid. NEXRAD weather radar detected falling meteorites over water.
2022 EB5 (Apollo) March 11, 2022 at 19:24 March 11, 2022 at 21:22 Jan Mayen Island, Norway 1 m (6.4 feet) 2
2022 WJ1 (Apollo) November 19, 2022 at 04:53 November 19, 2022 at 08:27 Ontario, Canada 1 m (3.2 feet) Most meteorites fell in water.
2023 CX1 (Apollo) February 12, 2023 at 20:18 February 13, 2023 at 02:59 Normandy, France 1 m (3.2 feet) Over 22 meteorites.
2024 BX1 (Apollo) January 20, 2024 at 20:48 January 21, 2024 at 00:33 Berlin, Germany 0.7 – 1.6 m (2.23 – 5.2 feet) / ~140 kg About 200 meteorites. Total weight 1.8 kg.
2024 RW1 (Apollo) September 4, 2024 at 05:43 September 4, 2024 at 16:39 Luzon, Philippines 1.1 – 2.4 m (3.6 – 7.9 feet) 0.2
A11dc6D October 22, 2024 October 22, 2024 at 10:54 Eastern Pacific Ocean 1 m (3.2 feet) 0.15
C0WECP5 December 3, 2024 December 3, 2024 at 16:15 Siberia, Russia 70 cm (2.3 feet)

Updated at 11:59 UTC on December 3, 2024




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