The Probability of False Go/No-Go Determined by GOES Proton Flux: Proposed Launch Constraints for Avoiding Damaging Solar Energetic Particle Events

Abstract: The space environment is full of harmful radiation and high energy particles that can cause damage to materials and affect computer systems by e.g., single event effects (SEEs), total ionizing dose (TID), etc. There are three main sources of high energy particles: Trapped radiation in Earth’s Van Allen belts (electrons and protons); Solar energetic particles (SEPs) (protons and heavy ions); Galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) (protons and heavy ions). In this study, we focus on the SEPs and their tim…