Abstract: Accurate and timely crop yield forecasts are critical for making informed agricultural policies and investments, as well as increasing market efficiency and stability. In Becker-Reshef et al. (2010) and Franch et al. (2015) we developed an empirical generalized model for forecasting winter wheat yield. In this study we present a new model based on the extrapolation of the pure wheat signal (100 percent of wheat within the pixel) from MODIS (Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) data …