The consensus problem | The Planetary Society


Human spaceflight has no consensus driver. The Moon, Mars, low Earth orbit, an asteroid — all priorities are functionally a product of opinion, however passionate. There is no objective reason why one should be the goal over any other. Engineering and cost serve as the primary constraints on near-term human exploration goals. But nothing anchors horizon goals, so they tend to drift. 

What human spaceflight lacks in long-term consensus is made up for in political strength. It is no easy feat to launch a human and a small bubble of Earth’s atmosphere into the unforgiving environment of space. These costs and large support workforces are concentrated at several NASA centers and major contractors, some of which have worked on the same multibillion-dollar contracts for decades. 

Furthermore, due to random accidents of history, the NASA centers that specialize in science and those that specialize primarily in human spaceflight are both geographically and politically distinct. The extensive testing, training, and operations facilities necessary for Project Apollo spurred infrastructure build-outs almost entirely located in the southern United States — a product of a domestic southern-state investment initiative and the southern Democratic senators who controlled key committees within Congress in the 1960s. The political transformation of the South over the subsequent 50 years made the political representation of these centers, located in Alabama, Florida, Texas, and Louisiana, overwhelmingly Republican. The states hosting NASA’s science centers, California and Maryland, went in the opposite direction and became much more Democratic. 

So, while partisanship (at least at the congressional level) remains largely absent from human exploration and space science programs, the parochial political interests of both activities now fall along party lines. 

This, then, can explain the surges of funding for human spaceflight, particularly in the past year under unified Republican control of Congress and the White House. Even in years when the politics are inverted, the concentrated quality of the human exploration program’s workforce and spending makes it politically stronger. Science, more distributed and currently represented by members of the minority party, lacks the concentrated political force needed to protect its funding in lean times. 

Space exploration, ultimately, is a human endeavor. Despite its idealism, it is a product of politics, with all of the messiness and motivations that this entails. With the Artemis program, we are moving into a period of potential alignment between human spaceflight’s goals and near-term achievements. At the same time, the near-death experience of space science in 2025 created a bipartisan coalition of support in Congress rarely seen in modern politics. Perhaps a fusion is the path forward: a tighter integration of science into Artemis that provides helpful constraints on the future of the program and increases the parochial salience of space science itself.



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