Abstract: The state of the boundary layer on space re-entry vehicles significantly affects the design of the thermal protection system. However, the physical mechanism that leads to the laminar-turbulent boundary-layer transition on blunt spherical capsules remains an open question in literature. This work numerically assesses the potential of roughness-induced non-modal disturbance growth on re-entry capsules with a spherical-section forebody by optimal transient-growth theory and direct numerical sim…